Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 56.654524 63.618095 70.827718 78.828233 87.436608 96.399754 106.416828
2025-04-06 45.536232 55.642356 66.695629 79.588535 94.120254 109.902046 128.245598
2025-04-13 37.630668 48.973313 61.885333 77.482340 95.622990 115.875673 140.011316
2025-04-20 34.093623 46.728691 61.584229 80.027938 102.000993 127.043627 157.438762
2025-04-27 30.751235 44.240513 60.579666 81.371843 106.671958 136.025131 172.211146
2025-05-04 27.693281 41.746388 59.256798 82.055608 110.336752 143.677016 185.347871
2025-05-11 26.141311 40.997157 59.950599 85.095557 116.774614 154.597779 202.385488
2025-05-18 24.011121 39.262919 59.207224 86.179776 120.697060 162.433369 215.730247
2025-05-25 21.051732 36.122847 56.391360 84.395575 120.853442 165.544123 223.269484
2025-06-01 18.756943 33.709273 54.358883 83.461693 121.947712 169.710172 232.034865
2025-06-08 17.023918 31.956795 53.094062 83.427802 124.109433 175.152483 242.357220
2025-06-15 16.283805 31.628798 53.767827 85.979970 129.640209 184.869411 258.069257
2025-06-22 14.973172 30.345180 53.049831 86.640795 132.750037 191.644644 270.314385
2025-06-29 13.765151 29.123870 52.347504 87.274501 135.810586 198.384784 282.594805
2025-07-06 11.948640 26.722585 49.737406 85.064658 134.903651 199.888764 288.132652
2025-07-13 11.509939 26.615512 50.566765 87.772430 140.720400 210.207230 305.046524
2025-07-20 10.809435 25.985072 50.541585 89.206903 144.773007 218.223873 319.042627
2025-07-27 10.011867 25.104866 50.066317 89.935414 147.821057 224.913740 331.351849
2025-08-03 9.800459 25.286016 51.273155 93.174483 154.419849 236.385789 349.981478
2025-08-10 9.184484 24.645086 51.110717 94.329144 158.066995 243.922128 363.504202
2025-08-17 8.048359 22.875918 48.996634 92.428854 157.291788 245.453619 369.102301
2025-08-24 7.179604 21.541605 47.521930 91.433904 157.755497 248.624408 376.851221
2025-08-31 6.544123 20.620789 46.693368 91.397792 159.577589 253.637362 387.062071